Lake Research for Larry LaRocco (5/20-25, likely voters):
Larry LaRocco (D): 28
Jim Risch (R): 43
Rex Rammell (I): 6
Undecided: 18
(MoE: ±4.5%)
If LaRocco wins this race, how many Senate seats would Democrats pick up across the nation? The National Journal ranks this race as the 14th most likely GOP seat to flip, but I think it might be more like 16 or 17.
28? That’s pretty low.
It’s bad when any incumbent is below 50% especially a Republican in Idaho.
especially for Idaho. We’ll just have to get all those undecideds on our side, which is impossible but we’ll see. I dont think LaRocco will win but this could still be at least somewhat of a race, a feat that doesn’t happen in Idaho.
Though I think the end result will be somewhere between a 10 and 17 point margin win for Risch.
Does anyone know who Rammell is?
Risch would be a sure winner, since the average candidate in the UK or Canada wins with only an average of 40-45%.
But this isn’t UK or Canada, it’s Idaho, United States.
So…up yours, Risch! Hahahaha